Bookmakers have long gone beyond accepting bets on sporting events. After all, not everything gambling people sports fans. For some time now, every bookmaker has begun to include bets on politics, weather, show business and some others in its line.
There are also quite funny bets, for example, on the fact that it will snow or rain on a certain day and in a certain area. For example, bookmaker William Hill offers bets on which products will be the most popular gifts for the upcoming Christmas.
The relevance of betting on politics
One of the first non-sporting events, on which bookmakers began to accept bets, were political events, which included elections, referendums and other types of voting. For example, bettors were asked to predict who will become the next US president after Barack Obama resigns.
Bets are placed not only on a specific person, but also on what gender they will be. Naturally, men have more chances in this case. A large number of bettors placed bets on the Scottish independence referendum.
In addition to politics, they also bet on events of a secular nature. For example, you could try to guess what name the newborn representative of the British royal family would receive. The line also includes events such as “will anyone get a divorce?” star family" For example, Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie.
Bookmaker experts often cover the lives of royal families. In one of the offices it was proposed to guess which social network the representative will post his next message royal court Britain. Favorites here include, of course, the most popular Facebook, Twitter and Instagram.
Non-sporting events include changes in weather on a particular day in a particular location. Bookmakers often offer to bet on snowfall on Christmas Eve.
There are even events concerning life on other planets. Thus, the offices offer to guess the answer to the eternal question “Is there life on Mars?” and “When will representatives of our planet first land on the “red planet?”
At first glance, beating a bookmaker is very easy. Once you place your first bet, correctly predict the outcome of an event, see an increase in funds in your account, and it immediately seems that a successful career as a bettor has just begun. In reality, things are developing more pessimistically. Beginners begin to place more and more bets, follow the advice of unreliable sources, act on intuition, rush, wanting to win back faster and make many other gross mistakes that will soon lead to complete defeat and disappointment in the bookmaker world. This stops some, and some continue to try, without any work on themselves, wanting to quickly find information on the Internet that will tell them how to constantly win on bets.
9 factors that prevent you from winning at a bookmaker
It is on such players that the bookmaker business thrives. There will always be enough people who are willing to bet on sports and do not have certain qualities to have at least a minimal chance of staying in the black over a long distance. Sports betting can be very lucrative for punters, but if winning money at a bookmaker was easy, there would be no point in its existence.
Less than 10 percent of players actually make money betting on sports, and the rest either go into the red or, at best, remain with their money.
Do you want to have a better chance of getting into that coveted 10%? Then remember and follow the rules described below. We will not give you a 100% ready-made solution on how to beat a bookmaker, but we will tell you about the basic principles that will bring you significantly closer to success or at least further away from failure. Let's look at them.
1. Do you want to win against a bookmaker? Be prepared to lose.
Let's explain what this means. If you do not have money that you are willing to risk, and if you lose it, your financial condition will worsen, sports betting should be postponed until better times.
It is right to start your career as a bettor with good starting capital if you really want sports betting to generate significant income. You must be mentally prepared to lose all the money you brought into the bookmaker's office, but at the same time you should not care about the outcome of your bets.
Manage your starting bank
Regardless of the size of the starting capital, small amounts should be allocated for the first 100-200 bets, no more than 1-3 percent of all money in the account. This is guaranteed to protect you from rapidly losing all your money in the event of a series of unsuccessful bets. Also, rates minimum size will help you gain experience in different situations at the lowest cost, for example, betting on the wrong outcome, untimely bets, unreasonably risky bets, cancellation of a bet or its freezing due to something.
The more experienced a player becomes, the more efficiently he will use his capital, but even beginners should understand that risking a large part of their money on a gaming account is not very promising.
2. Keep bet statistics
To beat a bookmaker at a distance, you cannot do without your own betting methodology. You can develop it yourself (the preferred option) or, at worst, download it from the Internet.
Detailed statistics of your own bets can help you develop the right attitude towards bet sizes, quantity, type, etc. For example, by analyzing his bets on totals in football matches, a player can conclude how profitable they are for him and adjust their number and size. If such bets bring a reliable income, then their size can be increased, and if the result of bets on totals is near zero, then it is worth reducing their number and carefully choosing suitable events.
3. Carefully study the bookmaker’s rules
Each bookmaker has its own rules for accepting bets. Also, many bookmakers have their own types of bets that others do not offer. If you lost money due to inattention, without reading the information, then the bookmaker will never take your side, because the rules are available to everyone and when registering, the player is strongly recommended to study them.
4. It’s easier to beat a bookmaker where you understand something.
Bet only on “your” sport First of all, choose a sport for betting that you really like and understand. It’s even better if you yourself were involved in this sport, for example, you played on the faculty volleyball team during your studies. Professional athletes are prohibited from betting on sports, especially if they have even the slightest connection to the events on which they are betting.
Understanding the sport will increase the likelihood of making a correct prediction for a certain event. It is important to know the features of the championship or tournament, statistics of past seasons.
It is also necessary to follow the news of the sport on which you are betting so that any development of events is not unexpected. For example, regularly attending hockey matches of the Continental Hockey League over several seasons and actively participating in discussions of news, match results, and transfers will add confidence to your analytical approach to betting on the events of this championship.
Betting on a sport in which you do not know all the rules and features is a dubious activity. Sooner or later, a situation will arise for which you are not prepared, and the bet will already be made and you will need luck so as not to lose money in a ridiculous way. You can learn all the nuances of betting on one of the sports from your own experience, spending a significant amount of money for this, but it’s up to you to choose the path you take.
5. Odds are important!
Odds at bookmakers are constantly adjusted due to changes in the probability of an outcome occurring or due to loading due to large quantity rates. For example, the odds for the favorite to win in a football match can decrease from 1.35 to 1.2 within 2-3 days, since many players bet on this outcome and in order to reduce the risk of incurring a loss, the bookmaker lowers this quote. And if one of the key players of the favorite team gets injured, the odds for victory may rise by 1-2 points. Also, in the line of each bookmaker you can find odds that are objectively overestimated or underestimated.
Correct odds are a plus in the long run If for several bets the difference in odds of 1-2 points is insignificant, then at a distance of 100-200 bets such a difference can play an important role. If you want to beat the bookmaker, try not to bet on odds that are loaded or on odds that are too low, as sooner or later this will negatively affect your betting account. Conversely, by placing bets at odds that are slightly better than they should be, you automatically increase your potential income for the same probability of the desired outcome occurring.
The big problem for beginners is the belief that a low odd is a 100% guarantee of winning from the bookmaker. This is a misconception. In modern sports, competition is so high that the likelihood of an unexpected result is high in every sport, in every championship and in every round. If you constantly choose an outcome with odds of 1.3, then out of 10 bets, 3 unsuccessful bets are enough to have a negative result at such a distance, not to mention a larger number of losing bets or even lower odds. The most effective odds are in the range from 1.7 to 2.3. The higher the odds, the more profit the player will receive if the bet of the same size wins.
Experienced bettors place bets at bookmakers that offer higher odds than others. The correct approach to odds is one of the key factors in successfully playing against bookmakers.
6. What types of bets should I make to beat the bookmaker?
Every player, especially if he is a beginner, wants to bet less and win more. In sports betting, you can increase your odds by using express or system bet types. Taking 4 events with odds of 2 in an express bet and winning a bet at a total odds of 16 by betting one amount is more tempting than betting 4 equal amounts on each event separately. But this is an unprofessional approach. The more events in the express bet, the lower the probability of the bet being winning. It's the same with systems. Ordinary bets are the most reliable bets, which are not influenced by anything outside. Professional bettors rarely use express bets or systems in their strategies, but even if express bets are present in their arsenal, they will have 2 or maximum 3 events. Beginners in sports betting, usually from their own experience, come to understand that the reliability of single bets is more logical than the profitability of express bets and systems.
7. Forget about signs and premonitions
Few people can simply guess the results The results of sporting events are a natural result based on a mass of real and explainable factors. If you want to win against a bookmaker, then forget about any methods of predicting the outcome based on signs and intuition. If one player believes that on a rainy Saturday his bet on the underdog to win has a high probability of winning, then there is always a second player who follows the opposite assumption and bets on the favorite - what should the underdog and the favorite do in this case?
Some players often place their bets based on the results of the round. For example, it is easy to believe in a large number of goals scored in the last match of the National Hockey League tour, if the remaining matches rarely scored 3-4 goals. But despite the results of other matches, the players of the teams meeting in the last round play their own game and only this determines how many goals they will score.
Therefore, even if your bet based on signs or premonitions wins, you should not make a strategy out of it “how to beat a bookmaker based on intuition”, because this is an accident that, over a long distance, with high probability will play against you. Attentive and detailed analysis real factors that can influence the result will lead you to where more winnings than forecasting based on intuition.
8. Buying forecasts - be careful!
Nowadays on the Internet you can find a lot of offers for selling sports forecasts. Many sites, when offering their predictions, “guarantee” that you will be able to beat the bookmaker without any problems. Most of these sellers, called cappers or tipsters, are not worth the money you spend on their predictions, but there are some. Before you buy one or a series of forecasts from any of them, carefully study their past statistics, reviews about them, evaluate their success at certain times of the season, compare the price of their forecasts with others, make sure of their integrity and, if possible, communicate with them personally .
Tipsters' forecasts, and the risk is yours It is important that you do not lose patience with the initial bets when purchasing a series of predictions, since despite experience and skill, everyone can have unsuccessful series. To make a profit, sometimes you have to make a serious number of bets with a capper or tipster.
Under no circumstances choose bets offered by cappers that you will not bet on or on which you will bet more than required - this will completely deprive the logic of your decision to buy forecasts.
Bets dictated by forecast sellers, even if they will generate income, are risky investments in which you only need preliminary analysis, financial capabilities and patience.
9. Don't give in to excitement
If betting on sports starts to bring you pleasure, even if you lose money, you should stop. Gambling, no matter how much emotion it gives, will never lead to anything good. Gambling prevents players from making logical predictions. They are ready to place bets, blindly believing in a positive result, for example, betting on the victory of their favorite team or on the result for which they give the highest odds, etc.
Gambling does not correlate well with profitable betting, for which clear and detailed analysis will always be important.
Highly emotional players who are seriously affected by losing or winning will find it very difficult to beat the bookmaker over the long term.
10. Winning strategy in the bookmaker's office
The most effective bets will be those that are included within the framework of one of the strategies, of which quite a few have been invented during the existence of betting.
Each strategy has its positive and negative aspects, but with the right approach they can help the player consistently beat the bookmaker. More powerful tool To make a profit from sports betting there will be a strategy to which the player will make his own adjustments based on experience and analysis of his actions.
Any player, even a beginner, can develop his own strategy and successfully apply it in sports betting, and his chances of winning against a bookmaker with random bets are extremely small.
It should be understood that some strategies, such as arbs or searching for erroneous odds, are not encouraged by bookmakers and can cause trouble for players who use them.
11. Promotions and bonuses increase the chance of winning
Most bookmakers come up with various promotions and bonuses in order to attract the maximum number of players, for example, a first deposit bonus, cash and material prizes for winning a betting competition for a certain tournament, and others.
When betting on sports, you can make additional profit if you participate in promotions and bonuses offered by the bookmaker. Among them there are very tempting options that you definitely shouldn’t pass by, for example, like these. There are players who specialize only in promotions and bookmaker bonuses. They are called bonus hunters.
When choosing a bookmaker, carefully study all the promotions and bonuses available in it and try not to neglect them if this does not contradict your sports betting strategy.
Conclusion
I think that after reading the article, you have received enough information to answer the question “Is it possible to beat a bookmaker?” By default, the bookmaker has an advantage over the player as he selects events, outcomes and odds. But by correctly using all of these factors, maintaining patience and self-confidence, you will be able to turn sports betting into income.
Happy betting! Until now in this article, we have not voiced an important, but independent factor of a successful game against a bookmaker - good luck, which we wish you in your sports betting!
Everyone who was interested in sports betting did not know where to start and asked many questions. The main ones were that people wanted to know how to start betting, what is needed for this and, of course, how not to lose.
You need to immediately understand that betting is a difficult task; it is the same work that requires effort, knowledge and experience. You won’t be able to win a lot at once, so at first you need to at least not lose your money. I will help you with this.
All transactions take place in bookmakers, so you need to start by choosing a bookmaker. Many sites have opened online that accept bets, but today only a few dozen operate legally on the territory of the Russian Federation. Since we are honest players, we will choose from a list of legal companies.
There are many criteria that a good bookmaker (hereinafter simply “BC”) must meet. I talked about them in previous articles, so I won’t repeat them. Rest assured that legal offices fully or partially comply with them.
I will not describe the advantages and disadvantages of each bookmaker, I simply suggest that you familiarize yourself with the rating of legal bookmakers in Russia, where I described each bookmaker in more detail. Special attention Pay attention to the Betting League - it is now the leader in the legal domestic market. By the way, if you are interested, you can read the review of the Liga Stavok bookmaker, and if you register there right now, you can get a bonus. Hurry, because it is unknown how long the offer will be valid.
There is no point in considering other companies that are not included in the above-mentioned rating, since they operate illegally. Such sites will be blocked on the territory of the Russian Federation, along with the players’ accounts. Therefore, you risk losing your funds, which cannot be returned.
How to place a bet on the Liga Stavok bookmaker website?
How to register with a bookmaker?
Once you have chosen an office, proceed to register with it. Since betting on the RuNet has been legalized, the procedure has lengthened a little. Additionally, you will have to confirm your identity, but this is no more difficult than the registration itself and the procedure only needs to be done once.
Registration consists of several steps, the first of which is to fill out a standard registration form. What data do you need to provide?
- Email, create a password and confirm it, select Security Question and give an answer to it.
- Full name, gender and date of birth.
- Country and city of residence, current mobile phone number.
- Read the rules and legislative acts and confirm your agreement with them.
You don’t have to worry about the safety and confidentiality of the information provided, because in the Betting League it is reliably protected, and its distribution is subject to serious sanctions.
Click the green “Register” button. If all fields are filled out correctly, an email will be sent to the specified email. Open it and activate account. Done, you are now registered. All that remains is to go through identification, that is, confirm your identity.
How to pass personal identification?
After registration is completed, you will be notified by email and asked to complete identification. Follow the link from the letter, where you will be asked to confirm your personal information. This can be done at any branch of the office. The most developed network is that of the Betting League (more than 600 points, new ones open daily).
The procedure lasts several minutes and requires:
- passport;
- personal identification code (sent via SMS, active for one month);
- telephone number used to register with the Center for Accounting Services.
Present your passport to the cashier and provide the identification code - confirmation will be completed.
How to register with TsUPIS?
TsUPIS – Accounting Center for Accepting Interactive Bets. He acts as a guarantor of the honesty of partner offices and guarantees their solvency. This is a kind of intermediary between players and the bookmaker. Only through TsUPIS can you make legal bets on the RuNet. Other methods are illegal.
To register, go to the Accounting Center website and click the “Register” button. Then fill out all the fields and click on the green button. Next, confirm your mobile phone number and you will receive a code via SMS. Report it. Registration is complete, all that remains is to confirm your identity. How to do this is described above. Let me remind you that the identification for TsUPIS and the Betting League is the same, you do not need to go through it separately.
How not to lose?
We have sorted out the questions of how and where to place bets on sports on the Internet for beginners. The practical part of the article is completed here. Now let's move on to theory.
I discussed the main mistakes of beginners in detail in the second block of the article Quick Start. Also based on them, I compiled useful tips, which will help you not to lose everything on bets at once.
I think it’s better not to repeat myself, but to pay attention to yet undisclosed issues regarding live and other issues. It would not be superfluous to briefly supplement the existing information in previous articles with new thoughts. These are some psychological aspects that may seem useless, but actually make a difference in betting and reduce the likelihood of losing.
Initially, you need to decide what you need bets for. Most likely, this is a way for you to earn money: additional or main, stable or periodic. Treat betting like a business: set up a bank, choose a strategy, develop your betting skills, communicate with other players. When betting is entertainment or a hobby, this article is unlikely to be useful to you. I'll give you just one piece of advice: don't bet too much.
Understand that life cannot be all about bets alone. Yes, you need to devote enough time to this, but remember that you have family, loved ones and friends. Don’t get hung up on one activity, rest more often, take breaks, even if things are going well. Don't sacrifice the joys of life for the sake of betting, but you also shouldn't be irresponsible about them.
A short excursion into live betting
Live betting– these are bets on the same sporting events, only in real time, directly when the match is taking place.
This main feature live betting. Such bets have both unique advantages and some disadvantages.
Main advantages of Live betting
- Observation of the event. You watch the match, see the lineups, how the game is developing, who dominates, who chose what tactics. The motivation of the teams also becomes clear, as do many other moments that cannot be predicted with certainty before the start of the match.
The Betting League offers a simple but convenient platform for live betting. You can follow the movement of odds and watch broadcasts of main events.
- Best odds. Everything is simple here - the live odds increase slightly. For example, before the match, the odds for a team to win were 1.3, but if the score is 0:0 in the middle of the first half, it will increase to approximately 1.5. Or, if your analysis and statistics indicate that the team you have chosen scores more in the second half, then it is logical to wait for this period of the game and place a bet on the total for a good odds.
- Covering unsuccessful bets. Before the match you have chosen one outcome, but watching the game tells you that it will be completely different. Here you can change your decision, make another bet and thus override the pre-match decision. But I don’t advise you to abuse this.
Disadvantages of Live Betting
- Limited time to make a decision. Sometimes there is no time to think about a bet because the odds change very quickly. Therefore, the decision has to be made immediately, which can negatively affect the accuracy of the forecast.
- Minor painting. Although the same BC “Liga Stavok” has a good painting in Live, it is still inferior to the painting in the main line.
- Excitement. It may seem that money is easier in such bets. They are faster, because you can get a win in a few minutes, but they are definitely not easier. On the other hand, you can lose them just as quickly. The player gets excited and tries to win back by making a lot of thoughtless bets, which leads to losses of the entire game bank.
Live betting is a good way to increase your chances of winning, but only if used correctly. You need to be careful, because the main mistake is getting excited. It is best to do the analysis before the game and if it is in doubt, resist the temptation to bet, watch the game and then decide whether to bet on this match or not.
Bottom line
It is very easy for beginners to start betting online. Registration and confirmations take a few minutes. It is much more difficult to start betting correctly, choose a strategy and competent bank management. You will learn about all these nuances from other articles, but for now you can practice - select events in Live, follow the game and make predictions.
It is not necessary to bet; it is enough to write down the selected outcomes in a notebook and analyze the results. It’s okay if they are not comforting - you are just learning and it is extremely important not to lose a lot, since the loss of significant capital will discourage you from making any money on bets. It will seem to you that this is impossible, although in fact it is not. You will soon see this for yourself!
Bookmakers, in lately are becoming increasingly widespread in post-Soviet countries. Nowadays it is very difficult to meet a person who knows absolutely nothing about their activities. All people involved in sports know that bookmakers accept bets on various sporting events and pay winnings to players who correctly guess the outcome of the match.
Beginners mainly bet on popular football events, about which you can find huge amount useful information in various sources. Many of them achieve big wins, having figured out how to bet on football correctly.
The highest football odds + fast payouts + bonus 4,000 rubles! Reliable bookmaker. Register!
The first thing that can be recommended to a novice player is a deep study of statistics. Of course, statistics from ten years ago are of little help to you, but latest results teams and recent head-to-head meetings can tell a lot. Don't forget to also check the news regarding the immediate situation in the teams themselves. Pay attention to the position of the head coach (how long has he come to this post, is his resignation predicted, etc.) and the role in the team of those players who will miss the upcoming match due to disqualification or health problems. The more information you gather about a match, the more likely it is that you will predict the outcome correctly.
Professional betters (privateers), who know exactly how to place bets on football, learn almost everything about the match they are interested in, right down to the team of referees, the condition of the lawn and possible weather conditions during it. Of course, knowing such information will not help you 100% understand how to bet on football correctly, but it will be a significant help for the player (privateer).
After you have completely finished collecting information, you need to carefully analyze it and make a final decision about your bet.
However, the analytical part of the work does not end there, since now you need to decide which of the many online offices (or one of the offline payment acceptance points) you want to bet on. It is best to read the reviews and choose one of the most reliable companies that already has a good reputation and positive reviews from clients. It is also necessary to find among these bookmakers the one that gives the highest odds for the event you are interested in, since losing money for nothing makes no sense at all and any player who knows how to correctly bet on football closely monitors this point.
It is very important not to change your decision at the last moment before placing your bet under the influence of the opinions of friends or other bookmaker players who do not agree with your bet option and supposedly know how to do it correctly. Always stick to your own opinion, and if it is supported by statistical data, then you will be guaranteed a large percentage of successful bets.
Football betting options
When understanding the difficult question of how to bet on football correctly, it is worth mentioning what types of events, in addition to the usual victory of one of the teams and a draw, the bookmakers will be able to offer you in their lines.
Basically, the standard total for football is 2.5, but there are exceptions. This mainly applies to meetings between clear leaders and outsiders, when a large number of goals are clearly expected to be scored against the latter. In this case, the total may be increased to 3.5.
The first thing that needs to be taken into account in such matches is the presence of the team's main goalkeeper in a particular game, as well as the shape of the players on the defensive line and the offensive line of the teams. It is quite natural that the absence of key players in defense or bad game forwards of two teams in the last matches can lead to a total over and a total under, respectively.
2) Result of the first half of the match
You can make good money on this type of bet, since the main events of a large number of matches unfold in the second half. You can try to bet the first half total under or over good ratio to a draw, which is quite likely.
3) Which team will score first?
In order to understand which team will be able to score the first goal in the match, you need to find statistics on goals scored and broken down by minute. Having studied it, it is quite possible to guess who should upset his opponent first. Do not forget that the first goal is scored mainly by the home team, trying to show best game in front of his audience. There is almost always an event in the line that both teams will not score, which has a coefficient of about 10, but you yourself understand that the probability of this is very low.
Events in which you need to guess the exact score of a football match have very high odds. This is extremely difficult to do, but good win will be able to offset many previous costs for the game.
5) Individual total players
A bet on the fact that a particular player will be able to hit the opponent's goal during the entire match - on a personal total - usually gives a very good win. Therefore, after studying the state of the teams' main scorers, you can easily try to guess one of the authors of the goals scored in the match.
Of the numerous types of bets that are so full of football matches at any reputable bookmaker's office, one can highlight the number of corners or yellow cards, the possibility of a penalty or sending off in a match, and many others.
Get an answer to the question: “How to bet on football correctly?” More and more players are striving to make a constant profit from playing at a bookmaker. And this is not surprising, because such bets have always been and remain the most popular, and the number of their lines on almost any day exceeds the set of events on other days. known species sports.
If you are interested in the question of how to bet on sports correctly, it means that playing at a bookmaker’s office is unlikely to generate income. Most bookmaker clients are in the red at a distance. Have you ever wondered why this happens? There are many reasons, but almost all of them boil down to one phrase - these people bet incorrectly.
Is it possible to count on a positive result when a person regularly makes mistakes, sometimes without noticing them? Obviously not. If you want to make money on bets, first figure out how to place them correctly, and then start playing. Let's go!
The purpose of the game in the bookmaker's office
When registering on a bookmaker’s website, people pursue different goals. The first step is to define your needs and decide what you will be bidding for. This can be entertainment to make watching matches more interesting. In this case, you will not need all the rules that will be described below.
If you have set a goal to make money, then go ahead. Do not place bets based on quotes from companies. Be honest with yourself. Place bets on fights that you have analyzed. Record all transactions. Allocate an amount for betting that the loss of will not affect your well-being. By adhering to these and other rules, which we will discuss in detail below, perhaps you will learn how to place bets correctly and earn consistently.
Set realistic goals
When starting to place bets, think carefully about whether you really need it. You are unlikely to be able to hit the jackpot and travel the world. At least not right away. This is a huge amount of work, albeit profitable, because stable players who are disciplined and understand the sport earn 20 percent or more of the gaming bank per month. But can you work for 30 days with a bankroll of 10 thousand rubles in order to earn a well-deserved, but insignificant amount of 2-4 thousand rubles?
Getting more at the start is almost impossible. You may be lucky if you make several all-in bets, but then these funds will be lost because you did not take into account the risks.
Before becoming a professional player, decide whether you can meet your personal needs with your income? Can you combine betting and work? Is there enough time for daily analysis of sporting events? And do you really need it?
Compare odds
A slight difference in quotes will in the long term bring a significant increase in earnings. Let's look at the example of two players.
Andrey plays in an illegal office and bets on the totals, which equal probability, are estimated by coefficients of 1.85-1.85. Pavel also prefers total bets, but with a reliable and legal bookmaker who offers 1.90-1.90 for equally probable outcomes.
To make it easier, let's assume that this is the main total in basketball, for example, 165.5. The office sets identical values for “more” and “less”. Let’s also assume that Andrey and Pasha are successful cappers, showing 55% passability.
Let's start the calculations. Based on the results of 100 transactions at 10 USD. That is, it turns out the following:
- Andrey won 18 USD. – (55 * 0.85 – 45) * 10;
- but Pavel earned 45 USD. (55 * 0.90 – 45) * 10.
The difference in the odds is insignificant, but Pavel received 2 times more. But you can find offices where 1.92-1.92 and even 1.95-1.95 are given for equivalent outcomes, for example, “1xBet” and “Marathon”.
Determine probability
Do not rely on intuition, omens and other nonsense. A professional gambler should always evaluate the probability of an outcome. For example, Andrey claims that the home team will win the match. He doesn’t care what odds to place the bet on. He will play both 1.45 and 1.70. And you already know how important the value of quotes is.
However, if Pavel tells him that he estimates the chances of the home team winning at 55%, then it becomes clear that he should not take this bet for 1.4 or even 1.7. The mathematical expectation does not exceed one (0.55 * 1.7 = 0.935), which means that the transaction is unprofitable in the long term. If the odds were around 2.0, then such a bet would be justified.
This strategy is called Value Betting - bets on undervalued odds based on statistics and analysis. A primitive explanation: a player scores in every third match. It turns out that the odds for this event are 1 to 3.3. By betting 10 USD for 3 matches, you will receive 33 USD. This is in theory, since the example takes into account superficial statistics, and not the athlete's form, his motivation, the level of the opponent and many other factors.
Keep bet statistics
You must be aware of every bet placed. Recording trades allows you to find strengths and weaknesses. Only taking into account bets will tell you that your baseball bets are unprofitable, a negative handicap is more likely to lose, and odds of more than two pass with the same frequency as 1.55.
These points are identified after analyzing the bets made. Record your bet in a table or notebook, indicating the date, tournament, match, outcome, odds of the outcome, bet amount and result.
You'll get tired of it after a while, but keeping track of bets and analyzing them is just as important as finding the best deals. If you don’t keep statistics, then making money from a distance is problematic, even with good analytical skills. Overcome laziness and record transactions.
Narrow specialization
Focus on one thing at a time. First, select a sport, and then several tournaments. Do not waste your strength and energy on exotic disciplines and unknown championships. You need to know more about the upcoming event than the office analysts.
It is not possible for a bookmaker to closely monitor every sport and every league. As a rule, the company has competitions that are added to the line in order to expand it, and not to make money.
When you follow an unpopular championship for a long time, you know more about it than the bookmaker. Watch every match, study the news and find insider information. Believe me, little attention is paid to the Australian Football Championship in the CIS, although it is a well-known tournament. What can we say then about the African championships? Become an expert in a championship that is uninteresting to others. Due to low competition, knowledge will provide an opportunity to earn money.
Control risks
Bookmakers continue to operate because they make money. People do not control risks and do not understand the obvious - you can win repeatedly, but lose only once.
Assess the risk of losing your gaming bank. Essentially, this means that you cannot bet more on a bet than you can bet on it. It’s cool to go all-in on the so-called “reinforced concrete” and earn a lot, but next time you won’t be lucky and your balance will be reset to zero.
If the probability of the bet passing is high, bet more. And vice versa. Focus not just on the odds, but on the chances of a particular outcome. For example, when the probability is 75%, bet 5% of the bankroll, and when the probability is 45%, then bet 3% of the bankroll.
Also make monotonous bets. There is no need to place one trade a day and then bet on everything. Choose the optimal number of trades so that you have enough time to analyze each outcome.
Resume
In conclusion, I would like to say that most bettors are in the red at a distance. Many of them lose deliberately, because they don’t want to spend hours analyzing matches, studying the news and reading analytical articles. They bet thoughtlessly: some for the opportunity to win a jackpot, and others for the adrenaline of watching matches. Some try to win, but there is no way to control emotions and, succumbing to excitement, they forget about financial strategy and lose money.
Don’t chase instant profits - gradually improve, achieve constant income and gradually increase it.
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